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Kim Gatley
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NAI REOC Austin
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Austin sees struggling industrial market

Please visit www.austinsource.com to view the Year-End 2008 Industrial Market Report. 

Austin set a historical record in 2008 for most new industrial space added in a single year.  The industrial-investment property tracked by NAI Austin brokers expanded to 36.9 million square feet in 2008, a 7 percent increase in total capacity over the 34.5 million square feet at year-end 2007.  The overall vacancy rate at the end of 2008 was 18 percent, which, although high, did not approach the record vacancy rates of 20-21 percent during the high-tech bubble years of 2002-2004.

At year-end 2008, Austin’s industrial market recorded a net positive absorption of 8,671 square feet in a market of 36.9 million square feet.  At the half-year mark in June, absorption was a positive 253,141 square feet, despite the slowing economy since late 2007.  By the end of December, following a near total meltdown of the national economic health in the second half of 2008, Austin’s absorption slipped to a negative 244,470 square feet, leaving a net positive absorption of 8,671 square feet for 2008.  The slide is likely to continue through 2009, but no one can predict how much.

Lease rates are coming down as landlords with the flexibility to do so try to retain or attract what movement there is in the market.  Transactions for the last half of 2008 slowed dramatically, and the recent trend of higher absorption and leasing activity in the third and fourth quarters of the last several years ceased. 

Nonetheless, if credit access and reliability can be stabilized, the Austin market should outperform the national market.

NAI Austin is one of Austin’s most experienced commercial real estate firms and the Austin area representative for NAI GlobalTM, the industry’s largest global network of real estate service-providers, comprising 5,000 brokers in 325 offices serving more than 55 countries worldwide. For more information on NAI Austin, please visit www.naiaustin.com.

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NAI Austin Releases 2007 Austin Commercial Real Estate Market Report


Every six months, NAI Austin publishes The NAI Austin Source – The Austin Metro Area Commercial Real Estate Market Report (formerly The Austin Source), a semi-annual market study. The Source data is compiled by NAI Austin broker-professionals, and is collected at the end of each study period in December and June. What makes The Source stand out from other commercial real estate publications is its attention to the market conditions for non-owner-occupied speculative industrial, office and retail buildings 20,000 square feet and larger. Other publications gather information from various public databases and lump together information by combining large/small and owner-occupied/non-owner-occupied buildings. The 2007 end-of-year Source can be accessed through the NAI Austin website at www.austinsource.com.

Industrial

Over the course of 2007, the Austin area industrial real estate market expanded by more than 1.4 million square feet. Even with such growth, it experienced the lowest vacancy rate since 2001, with a healthy 11% vacancy. Due to this low rate, industrial developers have a keen interest in the Austin area, with 976,000 square feet currently under construction and set to be completed within six months. Another result of the low vacancy rate is the increase in rental rates ranging from 8-15%, which is not likely to cease until the market vacancy rate is at 15% or more. Absorption in the industrial sector increased 17% over the 2006 figure, for a total of 1,792,693 square feet of space absorbed. 2007 was the third consecutive year in which the industrial market absorption was more than 1.5 million square feet. For more information on the Austin area industrial market or properties, contact a member of NAI Austin’s Industrial Team: Mark Milstead, Jerry Heare, David Barber, Cheryl Morse, Philip Bible, or Frank Niendorff. www.naiaustin.com

Office

The end of 2007 marked a strong year for the Austin area office space market. City-wide absorption was 628,075 square feet for the second half of the year, and rental rates continued to increase, although at a slower rate than the previous six months. There is currently an 11% vacancy rate, which is remarkable considering the large amounts of new construction in the region.

A rising rental rate and large amounts of new construction characterize a healthy market. Austin has low unemployment, positive job growth and low interest rates, which should also contribute to a healthy office market in 2008.

For more information on the Austin area office market or properties, contact a member of NAI Austin’s Office Team: Lise Wineland, Josie Marshman or Trisha Sims. www.naiaustin.com

Retail

During the last six months of 2007, retail occupancy remained relatively flat while rental rates continued to rise. The Austin area retail segment had a positive net absorption, and new construction continues to be absorbed even as more and more projects are announced by developers. These factors marked a good year for retail in Austin, even as other markets across the nation did not enjoy such success.

Although occupation has remained steady despite the addition of more retail space, only time will tell if the trend will continue.

For more information on the Austin area retail market or properties, contact a member of NAI Austin’s Retail Team: Sherry Sanchez, Travis Waldrop, Leo Morales or Ryan Coleman. www.naiaustin.com

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